Łomża vs Wigry Suwałki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Łomża
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Wigry Suwałki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Łomża vs Wigry Suwałki?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Łomża (1,844) and Wigry Suwałki (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Łomża have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Wigry Suwałki have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Łomża win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wigry Suwałki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki 1-0 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Łomża 1-1 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 0-3 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Łomża 1-0 Wigry Suwałki | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Łomża 2-1 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Łomża 3-1 Wigry Suwałki | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Wigry Suwałki vs Łomża on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Łomża sit 15th in III Liga - Group 1 (2 points from 5 matches) and Wigry Suwałki sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wigry Suwałki | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Łomża vs Wigry Suwałki?
- The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Wigry Suwałki.
- Where and when is Łomża vs Wigry Suwałki played?
- Łomża vs Wigry Suwałki is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027SwitvsWisła Płock II
- May 22, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- May 22, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsWarta Sieradz
- May 22, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsWidzew II
- May 22, 2027Mławianka MławavsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- May 22, 2027TroszynvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- May 22, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsOlimpia Elbląg
- May 22, 2027WeszlovsPelikan Łowicz