Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Elbląg: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, Ząbki
The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Elbląg?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,701) and Olimpia Elbląg (1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Olimpia Elbląg have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Olimpia Elbląg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg 3-1 Ząbkovia Ząbki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Ząbkovia Ząbki 2-3 Olimpia Elbląg | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olimpia Elbląg vs Ząbkovia Ząbki on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Olimpia Elbląg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Olimpia Elbląg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Elbląg?
- The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Olimpia Elbląg.
- Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Elbląg played?
- Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027SwitvsWisła Płock II
- May 22, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- May 22, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsWarta Sieradz
- May 22, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsWidzew II
- May 22, 2027Mławianka MławavsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- May 22, 2027ŁomżavsWigry Suwałki
- May 22, 2027TroszynvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- May 22, 2027WeszlovsPelikan Łowicz