Match

Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Elbląg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, Ząbki

Ząbkovia ZąbkiOlimpia Elbląg

The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Elbląg?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,701) and Olimpia Elbląg (1,637).

Ząbkovia Ząbki win48 %
Draw24 %
Olimpia Elbląg win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Olimpia Elbląg have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ząbkovia Ząbki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Warta Sieradz(away)4-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Wigry Suwałki(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)2-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Widzew II(home)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(away)0-5III Liga - Group 1
Olimpia Elbląg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Widzew II(home)0-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)4-2III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Olimpia Elbląg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Olimpia Elbląg 3-1 Ząbkovia ZąbkiIII Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2025Ząbkovia Ząbki 2-3 Olimpia ElblągIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Olimpia Elbląg vs Ząbkovia Ząbki on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ząbkovia Ząbki1.41.937/1510/15
Olimpia Elbląg1.11.9111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Olimpia Elbląg5212997
13Ząbkovia Ząbki5212897

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Elbląg?
The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Elbląg played?
Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ząbkovia Ząbki and Olimpia Elbląg

Ready to know everything about football?