Match

Widzew II vs Jagiellonia II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Łódź, Łódź

Widzew IIJagiellonia II

The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Jagiellonia II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Widzew II vs Jagiellonia II?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Widzew II (1,801) and Jagiellonia II (1,775).

Widzew II win47 %
Draw23 %
Jagiellonia II win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew II have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Jagiellonia II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Widzew II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)4-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(away)2-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Swit(home)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(away)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026Troszyn(home)5-1III Liga - Group 1
Jagiellonia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Weszlo(away)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(home)3-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Warta Sieradz(away)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Wigry Suwałki(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)3-2III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Widzew II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Jagiellonia II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Jagiellonia II 1-4 Widzew IIIII Liga - Group 1
Oct 5, 2025Widzew II 1-1 Jagiellonia IIIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Widzew II on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Widzew II2.21.157/1510/15
Jagiellonia II1.61.739/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Widzew II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia II sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Widzew II531111310
10Jagiellonia II5221998

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Widzew II vs Jagiellonia II?
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Jagiellonia II.
Where and when is Widzew II vs Jagiellonia II played?
Widzew II vs Jagiellonia II is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Łódź, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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