Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia played?

Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)EXBUD Arena, Kielce

Korona Kielce

Jagiellonia

The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia?

Jagiellonia starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,057 vs 1,943).

Korona Kielce win43 %

Draw27 %

Jagiellonia win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Korona Kielce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026	Jagiellonia(away)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 17, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

Jagiellonia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Saburtalo(home)	4-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Rangers(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	Rangers(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Korona Kielce win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Jagiellonia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 25, 2026	Jagiellonia 1-0 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa
Apr 10, 2026	Korona Kielce 1-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Oct 5, 2025	Jagiellonia 3-1 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa
Apr 27, 2025	Korona Kielce 3-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Oct 27, 2024	Jagiellonia 3-1 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa
May 11, 2024	Jagiellonia 3-0 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Korona Kielce on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Korona Kielce	0.9	0.9	4	7/15	2/15
Jagiellonia	1.7	0.7	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Korona Kielce sit 11th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
11	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	4	4	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia?: The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Jagiellonia.
Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia played?: Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.