JDFS Alberts vs JFK Ventspils: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Upesciems pilsētas stadions, Upesciems
The Footlab model makes JDFS Alberts the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for JFK Ventspils. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JDFS Alberts vs JFK Ventspils?
JDFS Alberts starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,575 vs 1,367).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JDFS Alberts have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; JFK Ventspils have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Riga FC II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Riga Mariners(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 JDFS Alberts win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 JFK Ventspils win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | JFK Ventspils 1-3 JDFS Alberts | 1. Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | JDFS Alberts 2-0 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| May 25, 2025 | JFK Ventspils 1-1 JDFS Alberts | 1. Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | JDFS Alberts 2-0 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| Jul 6, 2024 | JFK Ventspils 0-2 JDFS Alberts | 1. Liga |
| Oct 28, 2023 | JFK Ventspils 2-3 JDFS Alberts | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JDFS Alberts score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; JFK Ventspils score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JDFS Alberts | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| JFK Ventspils | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JDFS Alberts sit 5th in 1. Liga (17 points from 10 matches) and JFK Ventspils sit 12th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 31 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JDFS Alberts vs JFK Ventspils?
- The Footlab model makes JDFS Alberts the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for JFK Ventspils.
- Where and when is JDFS Alberts vs JFK Ventspils played?
- JDFS Alberts vs JFK Ventspils is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Upesciems pilsētas stadions, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.