Metta / LU vs Mārupe: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Daugavas Stadionā, Riga
The Footlab AI model makes Metta / LU the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Mārupe. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metta / LU vs Mārupe?
Metta / LU starts as the favourite with a 294-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,401).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Metta / LU vs Mārupe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Metta / LU
4-3-3- 11P. Amoah
- 17O. Dzenitis
- 21K. Abdulraheem
- 27K. Cēsnieks
- 10R. Kļavinskis
- 15Daniils Cinajevs
- 5I. Minkevičs
- 4K. Vilnis
- 13D. Petersons
- 16O. Likas
- 1K. Plavins
Mārupe
Not enough data to predict the Mārupe lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metta / LU have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Mārupe have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(home) | 7-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 6-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Riga FC II(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tukums II(home) | 5-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 1-4 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Metta / LU wins, 0 draws, 0 Mārupe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Mārupe 0-4 Metta / LU | 1. Liga |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Mārupe 1-4 Metta / LU | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Metta / LU score 4.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mārupe score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta / LU | 4.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
| Mārupe | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metta / LU sit 1st in 1. Liga (54 points from 21 matches) and Mārupe sit 6th (29 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta / LU | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 89 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 29 |
A question about Metta / LU vs Mārupe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metta / LU vs Mārupe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Metta / LU the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Mārupe.
- Where and when is Metta / LU vs Mārupe played?
- Metta / LU vs Mārupe is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Daugavas Stadionā, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.