Riga Mariners vs Leevon / PPK: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Riga Mariners the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Leevon / PPK. The most likely score is 1-1. If Riga Mariners wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riga Mariners vs Leevon / PPK?
On Elo ratings, Riga Mariners has 1,634 points and Leevon / PPK 1,548.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Riga Mariners vs Leevon / PPK
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Riga Mariners
Not enough data to predict the Riga Mariners lineup.
Leevon / PPK
Not enough data to predict the Leevon / PPK lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riga Mariners have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Leevon / PPK have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Metta / LU(away) | 0-4 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 1-4 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 5-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 6-3 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Riga FC II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Riga Mariners win, 1 draw, 1 Leevon / PPK win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Leevon / PPK 2-1 Riga Mariners | 1. Liga |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Leevon / PPK 2-3 Riga Mariners | 1. Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Riga Mariners 1-1 Leevon / PPK | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Leevon / PPK vs Riga Mariners on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Riga Mariners score 3.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leevon / PPK score 2.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga Mariners | 3.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Leevon / PPK | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Riga Mariners sit 4th in 1. Liga (47 points from 22 matches) and Leevon / PPK sit 3rd (52 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 25 | 52 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 50 | 27 | 47 |
A question about Riga Mariners vs Leevon / PPK?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riga Mariners vs Leevon / PPK?
- The Footlab AI model makes Riga Mariners the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Leevon / PPK.
- Where and when is Riga Mariners vs Leevon / PPK played?
- Riga Mariners vs Leevon / PPK is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.