Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sporta Aģentūras Stadions, Rezekne
The Footlab model makes Smiltene the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Rēzekne FA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Rēzekne FA (1,153) and Smiltene (1,252).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rēzekne FA have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Smiltene have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 1-4 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 3-5 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rēzekne FA win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Smiltene win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Smiltene 1-0 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Smiltene 2-2 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Rēzekne FA 2-1 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Smiltene 3-3 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| May 25, 2024 | Rēzekne FA 0-4 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Rēzekne FA 1-2 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Smiltene vs Rēzekne FA on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rēzekne FA score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Smiltene score 1.4 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rēzekne FA | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Smiltene | 1.4 | 2.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rēzekne FA sit 14th in 1. Liga (4 points from 10 matches) and Smiltene sit 13th (4 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Smiltene | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
| 13 | Smiltene | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 10 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 4 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?
- The Footlab model makes Smiltene the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Rēzekne FA.
- Where and when is Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene played?
- Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sporta Aģentūras Stadions, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.