Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sporta Aģentūras Stadions, Rezekne
The Footlab AI model makes Smiltene the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Rēzekne FA. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?
Smiltene starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,322 vs 1,158).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rēzekne FA
Not enough data to predict the Rēzekne FA lineup.
Smiltene
Not enough data to predict the Smiltene lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rēzekne FA have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Smiltene have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Riga FC II(away) | 0-5 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Riga Mariners(away) | 0-5 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 1-6 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tukums II(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Super Nova 2(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 0-6 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rēzekne FA win, 2 draws, 3 Smiltene wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Smiltene 1-0 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Smiltene 2-2 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Rēzekne FA 2-1 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Smiltene 3-3 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| May 25, 2024 | Rēzekne FA 0-4 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Rēzekne FA 1-2 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Smiltene vs Rēzekne FA on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rēzekne FA score 0.9 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Smiltene score 1.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rēzekne FA | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Smiltene | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rēzekne FA sit 14th in 1. Liga (6 points from 21 matches) and Smiltene sit 10th (19 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Smiltene | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 59 | 19 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 64 | 6 |
A question about Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?
- The Footlab AI model makes Smiltene the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Rēzekne FA.
- Where and when is Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene played?
- Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sporta Aģentūras Stadions, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.