Super Nova 2 vs Riga FC II: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Super Nova 2 the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Riga FC II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Super Nova 2 vs Riga FC II?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Super Nova 2 (1,413) and Riga FC II (1,407).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Super Nova 2 have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Riga FC II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Super Nova 2 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Riga FC II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Riga FC II 2-1 Super Nova 2 | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Riga FC II vs Super Nova 2 on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Super Nova 2 score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Riga FC II score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Nova 2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Riga FC II | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Super Nova 2 sit 7th in 1. Liga (15 points from 10 matches) and Riga FC II sit 9th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 24 |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 10 |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Super Nova 2 vs Riga FC II?
- The Footlab model makes Super Nova 2 the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Riga FC II.
- Where and when is Super Nova 2 vs Riga FC II played?
- Super Nova 2 vs Riga FC II is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.