Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)LNK Sporta Parks (dabīgais), Riga
The Footlab model makes Rīgas FS II the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Tukums II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?
Rīgas FS II starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,397 vs 1,260).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rīgas FS II have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Tukums II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Metta / LU(away) | 1-12 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 5-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Riga Mariners(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Metta / LU(away) | 0-9 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Riga FC II(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rīgas FS II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tukums II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | Tukums II 2-0 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Tukums II 2-2 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Rīgas FS II 4-1 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Tukums II 1-2 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Rīgas FS II 6-0 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Rīgas FS II 0-1 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Tukums II vs Rīgas FS II on Jul 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rīgas FS II score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tukums II score 1.3 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS II | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Tukums II | 1.3 | 2.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rīgas FS II sit 10th in 1. Liga (8 points from 10 matches) and Tukums II sit 11th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rīgas FS II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 10 | Tukums II | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 12 |
| 11 | Rīgas FS II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 48 | 12 |
| 11 | Tukums II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?
- The Footlab model makes Rīgas FS II the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Tukums II.
- Where and when is Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II played?
- Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at LNK Sporta Parks (dabīgais), in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.