Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)LNK Sporta Parks (dabīgais), Riga
The Footlab AI model makes Rīgas FS II the favourite at 63%, against 17% for a draw and 20% for Tukums II. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,597 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?
Rīgas FS II starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,393 vs 1,253).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rīgas FS II
Not enough data to predict the Rīgas FS II lineup.
Tukums II
Not enough data to predict the Tukums II lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rīgas FS II have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Tukums II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Super Nova 2(away) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Riga FC II(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 3-6 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Riga FC II(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rīgas FS II wins, 1 draw, 2 Tukums II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | Tukums II 2-0 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Tukums II 2-2 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Rīgas FS II 4-1 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Tukums II 1-2 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Rīgas FS II 6-0 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Rīgas FS II 0-1 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Tukums II vs Rīgas FS II on Jul 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rīgas FS II score 1.9 and concede 3.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tukums II score 1.1 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS II | 1.9 | 3.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Tukums II | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rīgas FS II sit 11th in 1. Liga (21 points from 25 matches) and Tukums II sit 12th (20 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rīgas FS II | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 70 | 21 |
| 12 | Tukums II | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 69 | 20 |
A question about Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rīgas FS II the favourite at 63%, against 17% for a draw and 20% for Tukums II.
- Where and when is Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II played?
- Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at LNK Sporta Parks (dabīgais), in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.