JEF United Chiba vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Kyoto Sanga?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate JEF United Chiba (1,815) and Kyoto Sanga (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Azul Claro Numazu(home) | 1-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Maruyasu Okazaki(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 JEF United Chiba win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Kyoto Sanga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 3-2 JEF United Chiba | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Kyoto Sanga 3-0 JEF United Chiba | Emperor Cup |
| Nov 28, 2021 | JEF United Chiba 0-0 Kyoto Sanga | J2 League |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Kyoto Sanga 2-1 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
| Sep 30, 2020 | JEF United Chiba 0-0 Kyoto Sanga | J2 League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Kyoto Sanga 2-0 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs JEF United Chiba on Jan 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEF United Chiba | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Kyoto Sanga | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JEF United Chiba sit 20th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs Kyoto Sanga?
- The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for JEF United Chiba.
- Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Kyoto Sanga played?
- JEF United Chiba vs Kyoto Sanga is played on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 9, 2027Cerezo OsakavsAvispa Fukuoka
- Apr 10, 2027Shimizu S-pulsevsMito Hollyhock
- Apr 10, 2027UrawavsKashiwa Reysol
- Apr 10, 2027Nagoya GrampusvsKashima
- Apr 10, 2027FC TokyovsFagiano Okayama
- Apr 10, 2027Kawasaki FrontalevsV-varen Nagasaki
- Apr 10, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Apr 10, 2027Machida ZelviavsVissel Kobe