Shimizu S-pulse vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Mito Hollyhock?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Shimizu S-pulse (1,901) and Mito Hollyhock (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kyoto Sangyo University(home) | 0-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Shimizu S-pulse win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2024 | Mito Hollyhock 2-2 Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League |
| May 26, 2024 | Shimizu S-pulse 2-1 Mito Hollyhock | J2 League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Shimizu S-pulse 0-0 Mito Hollyhock | J2 League |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Shimizu S-pulse 2-1 Mito Hollyhock | J2 League |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Shimizu S-pulse 3-0 Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse on Oct 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Shimizu S-pulse score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-pulse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Mito Hollyhock | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Mito Hollyhock?
- The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Mito Hollyhock.
- Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Mito Hollyhock played?
- Shimizu S-pulse vs Mito Hollyhock is played on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 9, 2027Cerezo OsakavsAvispa Fukuoka
- Apr 10, 2027UrawavsKashiwa Reysol
- Apr 10, 2027Nagoya GrampusvsKashima
- Apr 10, 2027FC TokyovsFagiano Okayama
- Apr 10, 2027Kawasaki FrontalevsV-varen Nagasaki
- Apr 10, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Apr 10, 2027JEF United ChibavsKyoto Sanga
- Apr 10, 2027Machida ZelviavsVissel Kobe