Match

Shimizu S-pulse vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueMatchday 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka

Shimizu S-pulseMito Hollyhock

The Footlab AI model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shimizu S-pulse wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Mito Hollyhock?

On Elo ratings, Shimizu S-pulse has 1,993 points and Mito Hollyhock 1,911.

52%26%22%
Shimizu S-pulse winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Shimizu S-pulse vs Mito Hollyhock

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Shimizu S-pulse

4-3-3
  1. 9Oh Se-Hun
  2. 7Capixaba
  3. 8K. Inoue
  1. 17M. Yumiba
  2. 37K. Koizumi
  3. 18T. Hirato
  1. 25Mateus Brunetti
  2. 24H. Sugai
  3. 3Y. Takahashi
  4. 4S. Hasukawa
  1. 1Y. Oki

Mito Hollyhock

4-4-2
  1. 30J. Okumura
  2. 9R. Nemoto
  1. 19T. Semba
  2. 44M. Nishihara
  3. 20Y. Funabashi
  4. 22K. Taniguchi
  1. 17K. Itakura
  2. 3K. Osaki
  3. 16Y. Tamura
  4. 25T. Mase
  1. 27J. Słowik

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:16 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shimizu S-pulse
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Tokyo Verdy(home)0-1J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)0-2J1 League
Oct 24, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)0-4J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)0-5J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-2J1 League
Mito Hollyhock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)0-1J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-3J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)1-3J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-6J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)0-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Shimizu S-pulse wins, 3 draws, 0 Mito Hollyhock wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Mito Hollyhock 1-2 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
Oct 6, 2024Mito Hollyhock 2-2 Shimizu S-pulseJ2 League
May 26, 2024Shimizu S-pulse 2-1 Mito HollyhockJ2 League
Nov 12, 2023Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Shimizu S-pulseJ2 League
Feb 18, 2023Shimizu S-pulse 0-0 Mito HollyhockJ2 League
Sep 18, 2016Shimizu S-pulse 2-1 Mito HollyhockJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Shimizu S-pulse score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Shimizu S-pulse1.11.728/159/15
Mito Hollyhock1.11.735/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th in J1 League (14 points from 14 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 19th (9 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Shimizu S-pulse14428102314
19Mito Hollyhock1423912269

A question about Shimizu S-pulse vs Mito Hollyhock?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Mito Hollyhock?
The Footlab AI model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Mito Hollyhock played?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Mito Hollyhock is played on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Shimizu S-pulse and Mito Hollyhock