Match

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota

Nagoya GrampusKashima

The Footlab AI model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Kashima. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nagoya Grampus wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,578 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima?

On Elo ratings, Nagoya Grampus has 1,988 points and Kashima 2,166.

37%26%37%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawKashima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nagoya Grampus

3-4-2-1
  1. 18K. Nagai
  1. 15S. Inagaki
  2. 22Y. Kimura
  3. 14T. Morishima
  4. 7R. Izumi
  5. 17T. Uchida
  6. 27K. Nakayama
  1. 31T. Takamine
  2. 70T. Hara
  3. 55S. Tokumoto
  1. 1D. Schmidt

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 27Y. Matsumura
  2. 6K. Misao
  3. 10G. Shibasaki
  4. 24H. Hayashu
  1. 55N. Ueda
  2. 23K. Tsukui
  3. 7R. Ogawa
  4. 3Kim Tae-Hyeon
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 01:32 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kashima have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(home)1-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)1-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(away)3-1J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Fagiano Okayama(home)3-3J-League Cup
Oct 11, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)2-1J1 League
Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)2-3J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)2-0J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Công An Nhân Dân(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nagoya Grampus win, 1 draw, 4 Kashima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Kashima 2-1 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Sep 27, 2025Nagoya Grampus 0-4 KashimaJ1 League
Apr 25, 2025Kashima 1-0 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Nov 9, 2024Kashima 0-0 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Feb 23, 2024Nagoya Grampus 0-3 KashimaJ1 League
Sep 10, 2023Kashima 1-2 Nagoya GrampusJ-League Cup

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nagoya Grampus1.41.7011/1510/15
Kashima2.31.359/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nagoya Grampus sit 11th in J1 League (14 points from 12 matches) and Kashima sit 8th (20 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Kashima12624252120
11Nagoya Grampus12426141814

A question about Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima?
The Footlab AI model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Kashima.
Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima played?
Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima is played on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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