Mito Hollyhock vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)K’s Denki Stadium, Mito
The Footlab model makes Mito Hollyhock the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Kyoto Sanga?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Mito Hollyhock (1,832) and Kyoto Sanga (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mito Hollyhock have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kyoto Sangyo University(home) | 0-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Maruyasu Okazaki(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mito Hollyhock win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kyoto Sanga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga 1-3 Mito Hollyhock | J1 League |
| Aug 22, 2021 | Mito Hollyhock 0-2 Kyoto Sanga | J2 League |
| May 16, 2021 | Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Mito Hollyhock | J2 League |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Mito Hollyhock 2-1 Kyoto Sanga | J2 League |
| Aug 12, 2020 | Kyoto Sanga 2-2 Mito Hollyhock | J2 League |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Mito Hollyhock 3-0 Kyoto Sanga | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mito Hollyhock score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Kyoto Sanga | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mito Hollyhock sit 7th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mito Hollyhock vs Kyoto Sanga?
- The Footlab model makes Mito Hollyhock the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Kyoto Sanga.
- Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs Kyoto Sanga played?
- Mito Hollyhock vs Kyoto Sanga is played on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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