Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Machida Gion Stadium, Tokyo
The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Vissel Kobe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Machida Zelvia (2,116) and Vissel Kobe (2,044).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Machida Zelvia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Grulla Morioka(home) | 3-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 4-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 5-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Machida Zelvia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Vissel Kobe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Machida Zelvia 3-1 Vissel Kobe | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Machida Zelvia 2-0 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 1-0 Machida Zelvia | J1 League |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida Zelvia | J1 League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Machida Zelvia 1-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Machida Zelvia score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Vissel Kobe | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Machida Zelvia sit 1st in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?
- The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Vissel Kobe.
- Where and when is Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe played?
- Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe is played on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Machida Gion Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 9, 2027Cerezo OsakavsAvispa Fukuoka
- Apr 10, 2027Shimizu S-pulsevsMito Hollyhock
- Apr 10, 2027UrawavsKashiwa Reysol
- Apr 10, 2027Nagoya GrampusvsKashima
- Apr 10, 2027FC TokyovsFagiano Okayama
- Apr 10, 2027Kawasaki FrontalevsV-varen Nagasaki
- Apr 10, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Apr 10, 2027JEF United ChibavsKyoto Sanga