Jincheon vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Jincheon the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Jungnang Chorus Mustang. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jincheon vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang?
Jincheon starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jincheon have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Jungnang Chorus Mustang have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyeongchang United(away) | 1-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Geoje Citizen(home) | 4-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sejong SA(away) | 1-4 | K4 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Namyangju(home) | 2-2 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Namyangju(home) | 0-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Geumsan Insam(away) | 3-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Gijang United(home) | 3-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Namyangju(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Pyeongtaek Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Jincheon win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Jungnang Chorus Mustang win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang 0-0 Jincheon | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Jungnang Chorus Mustang vs Jincheon on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jincheon score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Jungnang Chorus Mustang score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jincheon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Jungnang Chorus Mustang | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jincheon sit 2nd in K4 League (37 points from 18 matches) and Jungnang Chorus Mustang sit 5th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jincheon | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 37 |
| 5 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jincheon vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang?
- The Footlab model makes Jincheon the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Jungnang Chorus Mustang.
- Where and when is Jincheon vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang played?
- Jincheon vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang is played on October 4, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC), in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.