Namyangju vs Gijang United: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Namyangju City Sports Complex Auxiliary Field, Namyangju
The Footlab model makes Namyangju the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Gijang United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Namyangju vs Gijang United?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Namyangju (1,629) and Gijang United (1,565).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Namyangju have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Gijang United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(away) | 1-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 3-2 | K4 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Haman(home) | 2-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 1-4 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(away) | 2-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(away) | 0-3 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Busan Transportation(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Namyangju win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gijang United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Gijang United 2-1 Namyangju | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Gijang United vs Namyangju on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Namyangju score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gijang United score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Namyangju | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Gijang United | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Namyangju sit 4th in K4 League (29 points from 18 matches) and Gijang United sit 10th (20 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Namyangju | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 29 |
| 10 | Gijang United | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Namyangju vs Gijang United?
- The Footlab model makes Namyangju the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Gijang United.
- Where and when is Namyangju vs Gijang United played?
- Namyangju vs Gijang United is played on October 3, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Namyangju City Sports Complex Auxiliary Field, in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.