Mbeya City vs Young Africans: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
The Footlab AI model makes Young Africans the favourite at 85%, against 11% for a draw and 4% for Mbeya City. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mbeya City vs Young Africans?
Young Africans is a heavy favourite: 2,021 Elo points against 1,537, a 484-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mbeya City vs Young Africans
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mbeya City
4-3-3- 10E. Ambokile
- 49O. Mwajanga
- 22V. Mayanga
- 21J. Mwanuke
- 20H. Haji
- 32O. Abdallah
- 26A. Buha
- 14Nassor Mbarouk
- 5Y. Seleman Mbegu
- 4K. Pillar
- 31T. Reuben
Young Africans
4-3-3- 7M. Nzengeli
- 13P. Shalulile
- 9C. Touré
- 38Duke Ooga Abuya
- 21K. Attohoula
- 22A. Kangwanda
- 4I. Bacca
- 23C. Boka
- 3B. Mwamnyeto
- 15M. Hussein
- 39D. Diarra
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbeya City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Young Africans have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | CFFA(away) | 4-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gaborone United(home) | 2-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gaborone United(away) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mbeya City wins, 4 draws, 2 Young Africans wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Young Africans 6-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Mbeya City 0-0 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 6, 2023 | Mbeya City 3-3 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Young Africans 2-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Mbeya City 1-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Young Africans 0-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Young Africans vs Mbeya City on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mbeya City score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Young Africans score 2.5 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbeya City | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Young Africans | 2.5 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbeya City sit 9th in Ligi kuu Bara (10 points from 8 matches) and Young Africans sit 2nd (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
A question about Mbeya City vs Young Africans?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mbeya City vs Young Africans?
- The Footlab AI model makes Young Africans the favourite at 85%, against 11% for a draw and 4% for Mbeya City.
- Where and when is Mbeya City vs Young Africans played?
- Mbeya City vs Young Africans is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sokoine Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.