Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United: prediction and stats
FA CupRound of 128Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Formartine United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Johnstone Burgh wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Johnstone Burgh (1,547) and Formartine United (1,582).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Johnstone Burgh
Not enough data to predict the Johnstone Burgh lineup.
Formartine United
Not enough data to predict the Formartine United lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Johnstone Burgh have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Formartine United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newton Stewart(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Troon FC(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wick Academy(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Deveronvale(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Civil Service Strollers(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Johnstone Burgh score 2.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnstone Burgh | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Formartine United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Formartine United.
- Where and when is Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United played?
- Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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