Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieMatchday 38Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Jong Utrecht the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jong Utrecht wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,201 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Jong Utrecht (1,651) and Helmond Sport (1,643).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong Utrecht
4-2-3-1- 9N. Dundas
- 10Massien Ghaddari
- 7E. C. Owen
- 6J. van Ommeren
- 8D. Laaouina
- 11R. Omorowa
- 14W. Kooy
- 5Viggo Plantinga
- 2Yousri Sbai
- 3F. Pohl
- 1M. Eppink
Helmond Sport
4-4-2- 34T. Essakkati
- 9L. Bajrami
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 10D. Huiberts
- 94Mauro Lenaerts
- 4B. Koglin
- 5T. Poll
- 14Lovro Golič
- 2R. van Bree
- 1M. Bergsen
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Utrecht have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Helmond Sport have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Dordrecht(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 23, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Roda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 6, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 4-5 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jong Utrecht wins, 1 draw, 3 Helmond Sport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Jong Utrecht 1-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Helmond Sport 2-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 3-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Helmond Sport 1-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 0-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Helmond Sport 4-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Utrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 1.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Utrecht | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Utrecht sit 20th in Eerste Divisie (11 points from 14 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 18th (12 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 12 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 11 |
A question about Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jong Utrecht the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport played?
- Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport is played on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.