Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
The Footlab model makes Jong Utrecht the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Jong Utrecht (1,558) and Helmond Sport (1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Utrecht have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Helmond Sport have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MVV(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Gemert(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jong Utrecht win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Helmond Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Jong Utrecht 1-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Helmond Sport 2-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 3-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Helmond Sport 1-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 0-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Helmond Sport 4-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Utrecht score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Utrecht | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Utrecht sit 20th in Eerste Divisie (0 points from 3 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Jong Utrecht the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport played?
- Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport is played on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.