MVV vs FC Eindhoven: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)De Geusselt, Maastricht
The Footlab AI model makes MVV the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for FC Eindhoven. The most likely score is 1-1. If MVV wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MVV vs FC Eindhoven?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate MVV (1,577) and FC Eindhoven (1,603).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MVV vs FC Eindhoven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MVV
4-2-3-1- 7L. Daneels
- 10O. Dumont
- 16R. Klaasen
- 18E. Sierra
- 24N. El Hamdaoui
- 27Naïm Matoug
- 6F. Dicke
- 17S. Wegen
- 22Sven Bouland
- 21D. Asante
- 1H. Wentges
FC Eindhoven
4-4-2- 19Kevin Ferreira
- 9K. van Veen
- 8X. Blomme
- 6G. Beaumont
- 28R. Buifrahi
- 7H. Deenen
- 4Predrag Jevtić
- 20Raf van de Riet
- 44O. Renfrum
- 22C. Essers
- 1J. Borgmans
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MVV have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; FC Eindhoven have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 1-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 MVV wins, 1 draw, 1 FC Eindhoven win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Eindhoven 2-3 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven 5-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2025 | MVV 3-1 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 14, 2025 | MVV 2-0 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 17, 2024 | FC Eindhoven 1-1 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 26, 2024 | FC Eindhoven 0-3 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
MVV score 1.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Eindhoven score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVV | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Eindhoven | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MVV sit 9th in Eerste Divisie (16 points from 11 matches) and FC Eindhoven sit 16th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | MVV | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 16 |
| 16 | FC Eindhoven | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 11 |
A question about MVV vs FC Eindhoven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MVV vs FC Eindhoven?
- The Footlab AI model makes MVV the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for FC Eindhoven.
- Where and when is MVV vs FC Eindhoven played?
- MVV vs FC Eindhoven is played on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at De Geusselt, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.