Jong PSV U21 vs Emmen: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)PSV Campus De Herdgang, Eindhoven
The Footlab model makes Emmen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Jong PSV U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong PSV U21 vs Emmen?
Emmen starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,683 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong PSV U21 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Emmen have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 1-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 18, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 6-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Roda(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Twente(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Jong PSV U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Emmen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Emmen 2-3 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Jong PSV U21 3-1 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Emmen 4-2 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Jong PSV U21 2-3 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Jong PSV U21 3-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Emmen 1-0 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Emmen vs Jong PSV U21 on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong PSV U21 score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Emmen score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV U21 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Emmen | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong PSV U21 sit 11th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Emmen sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 1 | Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong PSV U21 vs Emmen?
- The Footlab model makes Emmen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Jong PSV U21.
- Where and when is Jong PSV U21 vs Emmen played?
- Jong PSV U21 vs Emmen is played on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at PSV Campus De Herdgang, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.