VVV Venlo vs Den Bosch: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, Venlo
The Footlab model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for VVV Venlo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs Den Bosch?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate VVV Venlo (1,645) and Den Bosch (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VVV Venlo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Den Bosch have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 3-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VVV Venlo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Den Bosch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Den Bosch 0-1 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2025 | VVV Venlo 0-1 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Den Bosch 0-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 25, 2024 | VVV Venlo 1-2 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 26, 2024 | VVV Venlo 2-3 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Den Bosch 1-2 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
VVV Venlo score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Den Bosch score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Den Bosch | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VVV Venlo sit 5th in Eerste Divisie (6 points from 3 matches) and Den Bosch sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | VVV Venlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | VVV Venlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VVV Venlo vs Den Bosch?
- The Footlab model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for VVV Venlo.
- Where and when is VVV Venlo vs Den Bosch played?
- VVV Venlo vs Den Bosch is played on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.