Dordrecht vs Waalwijk: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Dordrecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If Waalwijk wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,677 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dordrecht vs Waalwijk?
Waalwijk starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,660).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dordrecht vs Waalwijk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dordrecht
4-2-3-1- 9J. de Bie
- 21M. Vetkal
- 11N. Rossi
- 6L. Riccio
- 8Senne Vugts
- 10A. Ouarghi
- 4J. Pinas
- 3S. Henderikx
- 5C. Mpanzu
- 22J. van Aken
- 28T. Coremans
Waalwijk
4-2-3-1- 9J. van de Haar
- 6L. Postma
- 93V. Misidjan
- 22T. van de Loo
- 7R. Fage
- 11Yorem van der Veen
- 30J. de Wijs
- 4L. van Gelderen
- 33F. Al Mazyani
- 5Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo
- 1N. Schiks
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 02:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dordrecht have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Waalwijk have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 2-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dordrecht wins, 3 draws, 1 Waalwijk win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Waalwijk 2-2 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Waalwijk 1-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Dordrecht 1-2 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Waalwijk 4-4 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 30, 2018 | Dordrecht 2-0 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 12, 2018 | Dordrecht 1-0 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Waalwijk vs Dordrecht on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dordrecht score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Waalwijk score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Waalwijk | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dordrecht sit 18th in Eerste Divisie (11 points from 12 matches) and Waalwijk sit 11th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Waalwijk | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 16 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 11 |
A question about Dordrecht vs Waalwijk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dordrecht vs Waalwijk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Dordrecht.
- Where and when is Dordrecht vs Waalwijk played?
- Dordrecht vs Waalwijk is played on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at M-Scores Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.