Match

Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki: prediction and stats

Emperor Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Yamaha Stadium, Iwata

Jubilo IwataTegevajaro Miyazaki

The Footlab model makes Tegevajaro Miyazaki the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Jubilo Iwata. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Jubilo Iwata (1,769) and Tegevajaro Miyazaki (1,863).

Jubilo Iwata win29 %
Draw25 %
Tegevajaro Miyazaki win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jubilo Iwata have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Tegevajaro Miyazaki have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jubilo Iwata
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tokushima Vortis(home)2-1J2 League
Aug 16, 2026Yokohama FC(away)1-3J2 League
Aug 8, 2026Blaublitz Akita(home)1-1J2 League
Jun 6, 2026Osaka(home)1-1J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026Tochigi City(away)2-2J2/J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Shonan Bellmare(home)0-0J2 League
Aug 15, 2026Ventforet Kofu(away)1-1J2 League
Aug 8, 2026Yokohama FC(home)0-1J2 League
Jul 15, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Ventforet Kofu(home)2-1J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Jubilo Iwata win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 12, 2024Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Tegevajaro MiyazakiEmperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki on Jun 12, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Jubilo Iwata score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tegevajaro Miyazaki score 1.4 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Jubilo Iwata1.31.3311/157/15
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1.40.676/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
The Footlab model makes Tegevajaro Miyazaki the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Jubilo Iwata.
Where and when is Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki played?
Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Yamaha Stadium, in the Emperor Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Jubilo Iwata and Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Ready to know everything about football?