Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki: prediction and stats
Emperor Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Yamaha Stadium, Iwata
The Footlab model makes Tegevajaro Miyazaki the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Jubilo Iwata. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Jubilo Iwata (1,769) and Tegevajaro Miyazaki (1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jubilo Iwata have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Tegevajaro Miyazaki have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tokushima Vortis(home) | 2-1 | J2 League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 1-3 | J2 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blaublitz Akita(home) | 1-1 | J2 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Tochigi City(away) | 2-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 0-0 | J2 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ventforet Kofu(away) | 1-1 | J2 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yokohama FC(home) | 0-1 | J2 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ventforet Kofu(home) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Jubilo Iwata win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2024 | Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki on Jun 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Jubilo Iwata score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tegevajaro Miyazaki score 1.4 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilo Iwata | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
- The Footlab model makes Tegevajaro Miyazaki the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Jubilo Iwata.
- Where and when is Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki played?
- Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Yamaha Stadium, in the Emperor Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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