Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, Torremolinos
The Footlab model makes Juventud Torremolinos the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Algeciras. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Juventud Torremolinos (1,877) and Algeciras (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventud Torremolinos have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Algeciras have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Marbella(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tarazona(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Juventud Torremolinos win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Algeciras win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Algeciras 1-0 Juventud Torremolinos | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Juventud Torremolinos 1-1 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Algeciras vs Juventud Torremolinos on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juventud Torremolinos score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Algeciras score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud Torremolinos | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Algeciras | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventud Torremolinos sit 15th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (46 points from 38 matches) and Algeciras sit 8th (55 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Algeciras | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 41 | 55 |
| 15 | Juventud Torremolinos | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 45 | 51 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras?
- The Footlab model makes Juventud Torremolinos the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Algeciras.
- Where and when is Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras played?
- Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.