Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Real Madrid II the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Alcorcon. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Real Madrid II (1,952) and Alcorcon (1,894).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Alcorcon have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Real Madrid II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Alcorcon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2025 | Real Madrid II 1-1 Alcorcon | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Real Madrid II 2-1 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Alcorcon 2-1 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Real Madrid II 1-1 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Alcorcon 4-1 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon on Aug 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alcorcon score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Alcorcon | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Alcorcon | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 44 | 38 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
- The Footlab model makes Real Madrid II the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Alcorcon.
- Where and when is Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon played?
- Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.