Antequera vs Real Jaén: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Maulí, Antequera
The Footlab model makes Antequera the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Real Jaén. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antequera vs Real Jaén?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Antequera (1,896) and Real Jaén (1,971).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antequera have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Real Jaén have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Betis II(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Antequera win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Real Jaén win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2019 | Antequera 0-2 Real Jaén | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Antequera vs Real Jaén on Dec 1, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Antequera score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Jaén score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antequera | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Jaén | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Antequera | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 47 | 44 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antequera vs Real Jaén?
- The Footlab model makes Antequera the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Real Jaén.
- Where and when is Antequera vs Real Jaén played?
- Antequera vs Real Jaén is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Maulí, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.