Juventude vs Athletic Club: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul
The Footlab model makes Juventude the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Athletic Club. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventude vs Athletic Club?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Juventude (1,915) and Athletic Club (1,827).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventude have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Athletic Club have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goias(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | CRB(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 23, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Juventude win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Athletic Club win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Athletic Club 1-1 Juventude | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club vs Juventude on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juventude score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | 1.2 | 0.5 | 12 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
| Athletic Club | 1.0 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventude sit 2nd in Serie B (42 points from 23 matches) and Athletic Club sit 9th (34 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Juventude | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventude vs Athletic Club?
- The Footlab model makes Juventude the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Athletic Club.
- Where and when is Juventude vs Athletic Club played?
- Juventude vs Athletic Club is played on September 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.