Juventude vs Nautico Recife: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul
The Footlab AI model makes Juventude the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Nautico Recife. The most likely score is 1-1. If Juventude wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventude vs Nautico Recife?
On Elo ratings, Juventude has 1,831 points and Nautico Recife 1,737.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Juventude vs Nautico Recife
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Juventude
3-4-3- 11Fábio Lima
- 25Alisson Safira
- 44Mandaca
- 75Raí
- 16Diogo Barbosa
- 29Gabriel Pires
- 13Aderlan
- 34Rodrigo Sam
- 4Messias
- 47Marcos Paulo
- 93Jandrei
Nautico Recife
4-2-3-1- 72Derek
- 8Wenderson
- 10Jean Carlos
- 7Vinícius
- 41Samuel
- 29Júnior Todinho
- 2Arnaldo
- 23Igor Fernandes
- 15Léo Índio
- 3Alberto
- 1Muriel
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventude have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nautico Recife have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 28, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Novorizontino(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sport Recife(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Juventude wins, 3 draws, 1 Nautico Recife win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Nautico Recife 0-0 Juventude | Serie B |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Juventude 1-0 Nautico Recife | Serie B |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Nautico Recife 3-3 Juventude | Serie B |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Nautico Recife 2-1 Juventude | Serie C |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Juventude 2-1 Nautico Recife | Serie C |
| Oct 24, 2017 | Juventude 0-0 Nautico Recife | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Nautico Recife vs Juventude on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juventude score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nautico Recife score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Nautico Recife | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventude sit 3rd in Serie B (60 points from 33 matches) and Nautico Recife sit 14th (42 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 21 | 60 |
| 14 | Nautico Recife | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 42 | 42 |
A question about Juventude vs Nautico Recife?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventude vs Nautico Recife?
- The Footlab AI model makes Juventude the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Nautico Recife.
- Where and when is Juventude vs Nautico Recife played?
- Juventude vs Nautico Recife is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.