Juventude vs Nautico Recife: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul
The Footlab model makes Juventude the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Nautico Recife. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventude vs Nautico Recife?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Juventude (1,915) and Nautico Recife (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventude have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Nautico Recife have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goias(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | São Bernardo(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ceara(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Criciuma(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Juventude win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Nautico Recife win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Nautico Recife 0-0 Juventude | Serie B |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Juventude 1-0 Nautico Recife | Serie B |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Nautico Recife 3-3 Juventude | Serie B |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Nautico Recife 2-1 Juventude | Serie C |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Juventude 2-1 Nautico Recife | Serie C |
| Oct 24, 2017 | Juventude 0-0 Nautico Recife | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Nautico Recife vs Juventude on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juventude score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nautico Recife score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | 1.2 | 0.5 | 12 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
| Nautico Recife | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventude sit 2nd in Serie B (42 points from 23 matches) and Nautico Recife sit 15th (31 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Juventude | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 12 | 42 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventude vs Nautico Recife?
- The Footlab model makes Juventude the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Nautico Recife.
- Where and when is Juventude vs Nautico Recife played?
- Juventude vs Nautico Recife is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.