Juventus U23 vs Athletic Carpi: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria
The Footlab model makes Juventus U23 the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Athletic Carpi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventus U23 vs Athletic Carpi?
Juventus U23 starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventus U23 have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Athletic Carpi have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Novara(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Forli(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Juventus U23 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Athletic Carpi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Juventus U23 2-0 Athletic Carpi | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Athletic Carpi 1-1 Juventus U23 | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Juventus U23 vs Athletic Carpi on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juventus U23 score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Carpi score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus U23 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Athletic Carpi | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventus U23 sit 8th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Athletic Carpi sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Juventus U23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Athletic Carpi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventus U23 vs Athletic Carpi?
- The Footlab model makes Juventus U23 the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Athletic Carpi.
- Where and when is Juventus U23 vs Athletic Carpi played?
- Juventus U23 vs Athletic Carpi is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.