Match

Folgore Caratese vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio XXV Aprile, Carate Brianza

Folgore CarateseNovara

The Footlab AI model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Folgore Caratese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Novara?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Folgore Caratese (1,773) and Novara (1,743).

39%29%32%
Folgore Caratese winDrawNovara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Folgore Caratese vs Novara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Folgore Caratese

4-3-3
  1. 9S. Spalluto
  2. 61A. Santarcangelo
  3. 10A. Vacca
  1. 8F. Castellano
  2. 99F. D'Amico
  3. 92A. Tessiore
  1. 21E. Gega
  2. 11M. Balzano
  3. 43Alessandro Bassino
  4. 24E. Bellia
  1. 1D. Salvalaggio

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 14M. Romano
  2. 9D. Zuppel
  3. 7E. Lanini
  1. 99G. Basso
  2. 19R. Collodel
  3. 11N. Ledonne
  1. 58M. Miceli
  2. 3S. Lartey
  3. 28A. Cannavaro
  4. 70A. Valdesi
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:05 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folgore Caratese have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Novara have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Folgore Caratese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Treviso(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2026Trento(away)0-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Desenzano Calvina(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Lumezzane(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Giana Erminio(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Albinoleffe(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Cittadella(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Ospitaletto(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Folgore Caratese wins, 1 draw, 0 Novara wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 31, 2026Novara 2-2 Folgore CarateseSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Novara vs Folgore Caratese on Aug 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Folgore Caratese score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Folgore Caratese0.91.338/156/15
Novara1.11.147/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Folgore Caratese sit 19th in Serie C - Girone A (6 points from 10 matches) and Novara sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Novara10244101410
19Folgore Caratese101369156

A question about Folgore Caratese vs Novara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Folgore Caratese vs Novara?
The Footlab AI model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Novara.
Where and when is Folgore Caratese vs Novara played?
Folgore Caratese vs Novara is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio XXV Aprile, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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