Match

Cittadella vs Renate: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella

CittadellaRenate

The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Renate. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cittadella wins, the most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cittadella vs Renate?

Cittadella starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,695).

59%23%18%
Cittadella winDrawRenate win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cittadella vs Renate

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cittadella

4-3-3
  1. 16J. Ekuban
  2. 7E. Anastasia
  3. 10M. Antonucci
  1. 4F. Toffanin
  2. 23L. Paolucci
  3. 19F. D'Alessio
  1. 43A. Ndrecka
  2. 87B. Martella
  3. 24M. Gobbato
  4. 14C. Crialese
  1. 69A. Zanellati

Renate

4-3-3
  1. 92N. Anelli
  2. 9Ó. Karlsson
  3. 71P. Ruiz Giraldo
  1. 11A. Delcarro
  2. 25F. Vassallo
  3. 17A. Bonetti
  1. 5S. Auriletto
  2. 13A. Moțoc
  3. 4F. Vigano
  4. 2R. De Zen
  1. 30M. Avella

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cittadella have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Renate have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cittadella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Novara(away)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Albinoleffe(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Lecco(home)3-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Ospitaletto(away)1-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Juventus U23(home)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Renate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Giana Erminio(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Ospitaletto(away)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Treviso(home)0-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(away)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Cittadella wins, 1 draw, 0 Renate wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 3, 2026Cittadella 4-1 RenateCoppa Italia Serie C
Aug 31, 2026Renate 0-1 CittadellaSerie C - Girone A
Feb 16, 2026Cittadella 2-1 RenateSerie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2025Renate 0-0 CittadellaSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Cittadella vs Renate on Sep 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cittadella score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Renate score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cittadella1.70.786/156/15
Renate1.11.639/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cittadella sit 1st in Serie C - Girone A (24 points from 9 matches) and Renate sit 20th (4 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Cittadella980116424
20Renate90458144

A question about Cittadella vs Renate?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cittadella vs Renate?
The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Renate.
Where and when is Cittadella vs Renate played?
Cittadella vs Renate is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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