Lecco vs Treviso: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Treviso. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lecco vs Treviso?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Lecco (1,770) and Treviso (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecco have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Treviso have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Catania(away) | 3-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trento(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 10, 2026 | Vado(home) | 3-3 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 3, 2026 | Mestre(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Treviso score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Treviso | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lecco sit 11th in Serie C - Girone A (1 points from 1 matches) and Treviso sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lecco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Treviso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lecco vs Treviso?
- The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Treviso.
- Where and when is Lecco vs Treviso played?
- Lecco vs Treviso is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 10, 2027CittadellavsRenate
- Jan 10, 2027PRO VercellivsArzignano Valchiampo
- Jan 10, 2027Giana ErminiovsLumezzane
- Jan 10, 2027Juventus U23vsAthletic Carpi
- Jan 10, 2027Folgore CaratesevsNovara
- Jan 10, 2027TrentovsDesenzano Calvina
- Jan 10, 2027AlcionevsDolomiti Bellunesi
- Jan 10, 2027OspitalettovsAlbinoleffe