Juventus U23 vs Lumezzane: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 8Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria
The Footlab model makes Juventus U23 the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Lumezzane. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventus U23 vs Lumezzane?
Juventus U23 starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventus U23 have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Lumezzane have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Novara(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renate(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Juventus U23 score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus U23 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Lumezzane | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventus U23 sit 7th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Lumezzane sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Lumezzane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventus U23 vs Lumezzane?
- The Footlab model makes Juventus U23 the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Lumezzane.
- Where and when is Juventus U23 vs Lumezzane played?
- Juventus U23 vs Lumezzane is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.