Fiorentina vs Juventus: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Fiorentina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Juventus wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Juventus starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (2,163 vs 2,014).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fiorentina vs Juventus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fiorentina
4-2-3-1- 23Beto
- 30Franco Mastantuono
- 27C. Ndour
- 44N. Fagioli
- 42C. Inao Oulaï
- 29W. Gnonto
- 3R. Drăgușin
- 20Álex Jiménez
- 6L. Ranieri
- 21Valde
- 43David de Gea
Juventus
4-2-3-1- 9R. Kolo Muani
- 22W. McKennie
- 7Francisco Conceição
- 12Douglas Luiz
- 31N. González
- 29P. Sarr
- 15P. Kalulu
- 3Bremer
- 2Z. Çelik
- 26J. Lucumí
- 25G. Vicario
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorentina have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Juventus have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Torino(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fiorentina wins, 2 draws, 2 Juventus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Juventus 0-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Fiorentina 1-1 Juventus | Serie A |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Fiorentina 3-0 Juventus | Serie A |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Fiorentina 0-1 Juventus | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Juventus vs Fiorentina on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fiorentina score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Juventus score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Juventus | 1.5 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fiorentina sit 19th in Serie A (4 points from 6 matches) and Juventus sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fiorentina vs Juventus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Fiorentina.
- Where and when is Fiorentina vs Juventus played?
- Fiorentina vs Juventus is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Artemio Franchi, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.