Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kaitaba Stadium, Bukoba
The Footlab AI model makes Young Africans the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Kagera Sugar. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans?
Young Africans is a heavy favourite: 2,002 Elo points against 1,493, a 509-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kagera Sugar
Not enough data to predict the Kagera Sugar lineup.
Young Africans
4-3-3- 7M. Nzengeli
- 13P. Shalulile
- 9C. Touré
- 38Duke Ooga Abuya
- 21K. Attohoula
- 22A. Kangwanda
- 4I. Bacca
- 23C. Boka
- 3B. Mwamnyeto
- 15M. Hussein
- 39D. Diarra
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagera Sugar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Young Africans have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 2-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gaborone United(home) | 2-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gaborone United(away) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kagera Sugar wins, 1 draw, 5 Young Africans wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Young Africans 4-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 0-2 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 8, 2024 | Young Africans 1-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 0-0 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 11, 2023 | Young Africans 5-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Kagera Sugar 0-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kagera Sugar score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Young Africans score 2.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagera Sugar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Young Africans | 2.4 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagera Sugar sit 15th in Ligi kuu Bara (5 points from 7 matches) and Young Africans sit 2nd (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans?
- The Footlab AI model makes Young Africans the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Kagera Sugar.
- Where and when is Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans played?
- Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans is played on February 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kaitaba Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.