Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kaitaba Stadium, Bukoba
The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 75%, against 17% for a draw and 8% for Kagera Sugar. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans?
Young Africans is a heavy favourite: 1,973 Elo points against 1,448 — a 525-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagera Sugar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Young Africans have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 2-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Simba(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Namungo(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 4-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kagera Sugar win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Young Africans win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Young Africans 4-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 0-2 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 8, 2024 | Young Africans 1-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 0-0 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 11, 2023 | Young Africans 5-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Kagera Sugar 0-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kagera Sugar score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Young Africans score 2.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagera Sugar | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Young Africans | 2.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagera Sugar sit 15th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 3 matches) and Young Africans sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans?
- The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 75%, against 17% for a draw and 8% for Kagera Sugar.
- Where and when is Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans played?
- Kagera Sugar vs Young Africans is played on February 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kaitaba Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.