Match

Mashujaa vs Fountain Gate: prediction and stats

Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma

MashujaaFountain Gate

The Footlab AI model makes Mashujaa the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Fountain Gate. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,867 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mashujaa vs Fountain Gate?

On Elo ratings, Mashujaa has 1,593 points and Fountain Gate 1,502.

51%28%21%
Mashujaa winDrawFountain Gate win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mashujaa vs Fountain Gate

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mashujaa

4-3-3
  1. 45Michael Joseph
  2. 7C. Mhagama
  3. 57H. Kabunda
  1. 27S. Madeleke
  2. 23T. Simba
  3. 54H. Lidah
  1. 3H. Lyawatwa
  2. 20M. Mwakinyuke
  3. 13S. Mgandila
  4. 4S. Onditi
  1. 43M. Malik

Fountain Gate

4-3-3
  1. 22S. Said
  2. 20A. Athuman
  3. 27Hashimu Kindemile
  1. 9C. Obasi
  2. 60S. Mgunda
  3. 67M. Balama
  1. 15D. Mukombozi
  2. 6O. Awara
  3. 29J. Shiga
  4. 19A. Mtambi
  1. 18I. Parapanda

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:02 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mashujaa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Fountain Gate have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mashujaa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Simba(away)1-6Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 8, 2026Polisi Tanzania(home)2-1Ligi kuu Bara
Sep 9, 2026Singida Black Stars(home)2-1Ligi kuu Bara
Sep 4, 2026Dodoma Jiji(away)0-1Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 27, 2026Kagera Sugar(home)2-1Ligi kuu Bara
Fountain Gate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Pamba Jiji(home)1-1Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 9, 2026JKT Tanzania(home)1-2Ligi kuu Bara
Sep 13, 2026Kagera Sugar(away)1-1Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 31, 2026Young Africans(home)0-2Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 28, 2026Mbeya City(home)0-2Ligi kuu Bara

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mashujaa wins, 3 draws, 1 Fountain Gate win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Fountain Gate 1-0 MashujaaLigi kuu Bara
Jun 24, 2026Fountain Gate 0-1 MashujaaLigi kuu Bara
Mar 13, 2026Mashujaa 1-1 Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara
Apr 5, 2025Mashujaa 3-0 Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara
Oct 28, 2024Fountain Gate 2-2 MashujaaLigi kuu Bara
Apr 21, 2024Fountain Gate 0-0 MashujaaLigi kuu Bara

Last archived meeting: Fountain Gate vs Mashujaa on Aug 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mashujaa score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fountain Gate score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mashujaa0.91.336/155/15
Fountain Gate0.81.526/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mashujaa sit 6th in Ligi kuu Bara (12 points from 8 matches) and Fountain Gate sit 16th (5 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Mashujaa840491312
16Fountain Gate81254125

A question about Mashujaa vs Fountain Gate?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mashujaa vs Fountain Gate?
The Footlab AI model makes Mashujaa the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Fountain Gate.
Where and when is Mashujaa vs Fountain Gate played?
Mashujaa vs Fountain Gate is played on February 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lake Tanganyika Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mashujaa and Fountain Gate

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