Kaisar vs Atyrau: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Gany Muratbaeva, Kyzylorda
The Footlab model makes Kaisar the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Atyrau. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaisar vs Atyrau?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Kaisar (1,504) and Atyrau (1,459).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaisar have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Atyrau have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zhenys(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aktobe(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Zhenys(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yelimay Semey(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kaspiy(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Okzhetpes(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aktobe(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zhetysu(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kaisar win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Atyrau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Atyrau 2-0 Kaisar | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Kaisar 0-0 Atyrau | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Atyrau 1-2 Kaisar | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Atyrau 2-2 Kaisar | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Kaisar 1-1 Atyrau | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Kaisar 1-0 Atyrau | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kaisar score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atyrau score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaisar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Atyrau | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaisar sit 13th in Premier League (20 points from 21 matches) and Atyrau sit 12th (20 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Atyrau | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 20 |
| 13 | Kaisar | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaisar vs Atyrau?
- The Footlab model makes Kaisar the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Atyrau.
- Where and when is Kaisar vs Atyrau played?
- Kaisar vs Atyrau is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Gany Muratbaeva, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.