Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, Koszalin
The Footlab model makes Bałtyk Koszalin the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kotwica Kórnik?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Bałtyk Koszalin (1,653) and Kotwica Kórnik (1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bałtyk Koszalin have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-6 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Bałtyk Koszalin win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kotwica Kórnik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik 0-1 Bałtyk Koszalin | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kotwica Kórnik vs Bałtyk Koszalin on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bałtyk Koszalin | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Kotwica Kórnik | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kotwica Kórnik?
- The Footlab model makes Bałtyk Koszalin the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Kotwica Kórnik.
- Where and when is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kotwica Kórnik played?
- Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsLuzino
- Mar 6, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsPolonia Środa
- Mar 6, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsElana Toruń
- Mar 6, 2027Gedania GdanskvsKluczevia Stargard
- Mar 6, 2027Victoria WrześniavsFlota Świnoujście
- Mar 6, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsKalisz
- Mar 6, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsWda Świecie
- Mar 6, 2027Lipno StęszewvsLech Poznań II