Match

Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, Koszalin

Bałtyk KoszalinKotwica Kórnik

The Footlab model makes Bałtyk Koszalin the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kotwica Kórnik?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Bałtyk Koszalin (1,653) and Kotwica Kórnik (1,634).

Bałtyk Koszalin win44 %
Draw25 %
Kotwica Kórnik win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bałtyk Koszalin have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bałtyk Koszalin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kalisz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Flota Świnoujście(home)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Luzino(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Środa(home)0-3III Liga - Group 2
Kotwica Kórnik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Victoria Września(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kalisz(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Luzino(home)2-6III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Bałtyk Koszalin win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kotwica Kórnik win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Kotwica Kórnik 0-1 Bałtyk KoszalinIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Kotwica Kórnik vs Bałtyk Koszalin on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bałtyk Koszalin1.11.729/158/15
Kotwica Kórnik1.12.119/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Bałtyk Koszalin5122475
18Kotwica Kórnik50144121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kotwica Kórnik?
The Footlab model makes Bałtyk Koszalin the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where and when is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kotwica Kórnik played?
Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bałtyk Koszalin and Kotwica Kórnik

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