Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz played?

Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Stargard Szczeciński

Stargard Szczeciński

Kalisz

The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Stargard Szczeciński (1,779) and Kalisz (1,716).

Stargard Szczeciński win48 %

Draw24 %

Kalisz win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stargard Szczeciński have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kalisz have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stargard Szczeciński
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Kalisz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 5, 2026	Górnik Łęczna(away)	0-2	Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Stargard Szczeciński win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kalisz win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 6, 2021	Stargard Szczeciński 0-4 Kalisz	II Liga - East
Aug 29, 2020	Kalisz 2-0 Stargard Szczeciński	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz on Mar 6, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stargard Szczeciński	1.7	1.5	5	10/15	10/15
Kalisz	0.9	1.7	3	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (7 points from 5 matches) and Kalisz sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Kalisz	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
9	Stargard Szczeciński	5	2	1	2	9	10	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz?: The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Kalisz.
Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz played?: Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.