Lech Poznań II vs Kalisz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Kalisz?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Kalisz (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kalisz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lech Poznań II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kalisz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kalisz 2-2 Lech Poznań II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Lech Poznań II 3-2 Kalisz | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2024 | Lech Poznań II 1-1 Kalisz | II Liga - East |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Kalisz 2-1 Lech Poznań II | II Liga - East |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Lech Poznań II 0-4 Kalisz | II Liga - East |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Kalisz 2-2 Lech Poznań II | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Kalisz vs Lech Poznań II on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznań II | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Kalisz | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Kalisz sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 8 | Kalisz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Kalisz?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Kalisz.
- Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Kalisz played?
- Lech Poznań II vs Kalisz is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Elana ToruńvsFlota Świnoujście
- May 1, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsBałtyk Koszalin
- May 1, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsPolonia Środa
- May 1, 2027Gedania GdanskvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- May 1, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsKotwica Kórnik
- May 1, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsLuzino
- May 1, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsVictoria Września
- May 1, 2027Lipno StęszewvsStargard Szczeciński