Satun vs Kanchanaburi: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Satun Municipal Stadium, Satun
The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Kanchanaburi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Satun vs Kanchanaburi?
Kanchanaburi starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,543 vs 1,421).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Satun have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Kanchanaburi have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Muang Trang United(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Chonburi FC(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Satun win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kanchanaburi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2023 | Satun 2-1 Kanchanaburi | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Satun vs Kanchanaburi on Oct 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Kanchanaburi score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satun | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Kanchanaburi | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Satun vs Kanchanaburi?
- The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Kanchanaburi.
- Where and when is Satun vs Kanchanaburi played?
- Satun vs Kanchanaburi is played on September 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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