Celtic vs Beşiktaş: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Celtic Park, Glasgow
The Footlab AI model makes Celtic the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Beşiktaş. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celtic wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
On Elo ratings, Celtic has 2,137 points and Beşiktaş 2,100.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celtic vs Beşiktaş
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celtic
4-2-3-1- 11C. Durán
- 42C. McGregor
- 22M. Baur
- 8B. Nygren
- 17S. Tounekti
- 23H. Hassan
- 51Colby Donovan
- 5L. Scales
- 63K. Tierney
- 20C. Carter-Vickers
- 1V. Sinisalo
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1- 28D. Vlahović
- 6S. Özcan
- 10O. Kökçü
- 18V. Černý
- 15J. Olaitan
- 19L. Trossard
- 62A. Murillo
- 53E. Topçu
- 33R. Yılmaz
- 35Tiago Djaló
- 1A. Nübel
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtic have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Beşiktaş have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 9, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amed(away) | 2-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(home) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtic score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Beşiktaş score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Beşiktaş | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtic sit 28th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Beşiktaş sit 4th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
A question about Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celtic the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Beşiktaş.
- Where and when is Celtic vs Beşiktaş played?
- Celtic vs Beşiktaş is played on November 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Celtic Park, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.