Kassel vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 29Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Spielplatz Jahnstraße KS-Unterneustadt, Kassel
The Footlab model makes Kassel the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kassel vs Vfb Marburg?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Kassel (1,742) and Vfb Marburg (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kassel have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Friedberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Baunatal(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(away) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kassel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vfb Marburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Vfb Marburg 2-5 Kassel | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Kassel 0-2 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs Kassel on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kassel score 2.5 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kassel | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Vfb Marburg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kassel sit 13th in Oberliga - Hessen (4 points from 5 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 13 | Kassel | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kassel vs Vfb Marburg?
- The Footlab model makes Kassel the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Vfb Marburg.
- Where and when is Kassel vs Vfb Marburg played?
- Kassel vs Vfb Marburg is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Spielplatz Jahnstraße KS-Unterneustadt, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027FC GießenvsTuBa Pohlheim
- Apr 17, 2027BaunatalvsKassel 2
- Apr 17, 2027Darmstadt 98 IIvsHünfelder SV
- Apr 17, 2027FriedbergvsEintracht Stadtallendorf
- Apr 17, 2027HummetrothvsEddersheim
- Apr 17, 2027Unter-FlockenbachvsBayern Alzenau
- Apr 17, 2027Hadamarvs1960 Hanau
- Apr 18, 2027Rot-Weiß WalldorfvsFernwald