Kauno Žalgiris II vs Garliava: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)VDU Valdo Adamkaus stadionas, Ringaudai
The Footlab model makes Garliava the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Kauno Žalgiris II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris II vs Garliava?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Kauno Žalgiris II (1,174) and Garliava (1,262).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kauno Žalgiris II have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Garliava have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Žalgiris II(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Be1 NFA(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hegelmann II(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jonava(away) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Kauno Žalgiris II win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Garliava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Garliava 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Garliava 0-4 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Kauno Žalgiris II 2-2 Garliava | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Garliava 0-0 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| May 29, 2023 | Kauno Žalgiris II 2-2 Garliava | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Garliava vs Kauno Žalgiris II on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kauno Žalgiris II score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Garliava score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauno Žalgiris II | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Garliava | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kauno Žalgiris II sit 15th in 1 Lyga (13 points from 20 matches) and Garliava sit 11th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Garliava | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 22 |
| 15 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 34 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kauno Žalgiris II vs Garliava?
- The Footlab model makes Garliava the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Kauno Žalgiris II.
- Where and when is Kauno Žalgiris II vs Garliava played?
- Kauno Žalgiris II vs Garliava is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at VDU Valdo Adamkaus stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.