Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki
The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (2,090 vs 1,961).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Okinawa SV(home) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Urawa(away) | 4-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Verspah Oita(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kawasaki Frontale win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| May 31, 2025 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
- The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Kawasaki Frontale.
- Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima played?
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is played on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jun 6, 2027Shimizu S-pulsevsV-varen Nagasaki
- Jun 6, 2027UrawavsGamba Osaka
- Jun 6, 2027Nagoya GrampusvsTokyo Verdy
- Jun 6, 2027Vissel KobevsKyoto Sanga
- Jun 6, 2027KashimavsFC Tokyo
- Jun 6, 2027JEF United ChibavsKashiwa Reysol
- Jun 6, 2027Machida ZelviavsCerezo Osaka
- Jun 6, 2027Mito HollyhockvsYokohama F. Marinos