Match

JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba

JEF United ChibaKashiwa Reysol

The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashiwa Reysol starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,815).

JEF United Chiba win26 %
Draw25 %
Kashiwa Reysol win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Kashiwa Reysol have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

JEF United Chiba
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Azul Claro Numazu(home)1-1Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-2J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)0-4J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)0-3J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Kashiwa Reysol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Senshu University(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)4-2J1 League
Aug 14, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)3-1J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)2-1J1 League
Aug 1, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 JEF United Chiba win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kashiwa Reysol win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026JEF United Chiba 0-0 Kashiwa ReysolFriendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Kashiwa Reysol 4-2 JEF United ChibaJ1 League
Mar 7, 2026JEF United Chiba 2-1 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
Jan 31, 2026Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 JEF United ChibaFriendlies Clubs
Feb 9, 2025JEF United Chiba 0-3 Kashiwa ReysolFriendlies Clubs
Feb 18, 2024Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 JEF United ChibaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
JEF United Chiba0.82.026/158/15
Kashiwa Reysol1.61.237/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

JEF United Chiba sit 20th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kashiwa Reysol3300949
20JEF United Chiba3003090

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol played?
JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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