Match

Urawa vs Gamba Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

UrawaGamba Osaka

The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs Gamba Osaka?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Urawa (1,932) and Gamba Osaka (2,024).

Urawa win33 %
Draw26 %
Gamba Osaka win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gamba Osaka have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Yamanashi Gakuin(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)2-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)1-1J1 League
Aug 11, 2026Gangwon FC(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026Urawa(home)4-3J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Urawa win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Gamba Osaka win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka 4-3 UrawaJ1 League
Sep 13, 2025Gamba Osaka 1-0 UrawaJ1 League
May 6, 2025Urawa 0-1 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Jan 28, 2025Gamba Osaka 2-4 UrawaFriendlies Clubs
Sep 14, 2024Gamba Osaka 0-1 UrawaJ1 League
Apr 20, 2024Urawa 0-1 Gamba OsakaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Urawa on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Urawa1.71.758/158/15
Gamba Osaka1.81.258/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Gamba Osaka sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Gamba Osaka3111674
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Gamba Osaka?
The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Urawa.
Where and when is Urawa vs Gamba Osaka played?
Urawa vs Gamba Osaka is played on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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