Match

Kashima vs FC Tokyo: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueMatchday 38Kick-off on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima

KashimaFC Tokyo

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for FC Tokyo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kashima wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashima vs FC Tokyo?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Kashima (2,165) and FC Tokyo (2,145).

39%27%34%
Kashima winDrawFC Tokyo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kashima vs FC Tokyo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 17Élber
  2. 27Y. Matsumura
  3. 8Matheus Bueno
  4. 14Y. Higuchi
  1. 7R. Ogawa
  2. 55N. Ueda
  3. 23K. Tsukui
  4. 5I. Sekigawa
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

FC Tokyo

4-4-2
  1. 26M. Nagakura
  2. 39T. Nakagawa
  1. 8T. Ko
  2. 7S. Anzai
  3. 20S. Nagano
  4. 10K. Sato
  1. 24A. Scholz
  2. 4H. Inamura
  3. 6K. Bangnagande
  4. 22H. Ishihara
  1. 81Kim Seung-Gyu

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 01:49 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FC Tokyo have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)3-2J-League Cup
Nov 7, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-2J1 League
Nov 4, 2026Buriram United(away)0-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 31, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)4-1J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Pohang Steelers(home)3-0AFC Champions League Elite
FC Tokyo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Kashima(home)2-0J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)4-0J1 League
Oct 25, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)6-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)4-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kashima wins, 1 draw, 1 FC Tokyo win.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026FC Tokyo 2-0 KashimaJ1 League
May 23, 2026Kashima 1-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
Feb 7, 2026FC Tokyo 1-1 KashimaJ1 League
Aug 10, 2025FC Tokyo 0-1 KashimaJ1 League
Mar 1, 2025Kashima 2-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
Jul 20, 2024Kashima 2-1 FC TokyoJ1 League

Last archived meeting: FC Tokyo vs Kashima on Nov 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashima score 2.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tokyo score 2.7 and concede 0.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashima2.21.258/159/15
FC Tokyo2.70.1131/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashima sit 6th in J1 League (23 points from 14 matches) and FC Tokyo sit 1st (33 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1FC Tokyo14103133833
6Kashima14725292423

A question about Kashima vs FC Tokyo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashima vs FC Tokyo?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for FC Tokyo.
Where and when is Kashima vs FC Tokyo played?
Kashima vs FC Tokyo is played on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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