Match

Kashima vs FC Tokyo: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima

KashimaFC Tokyo

The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for FC Tokyo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashima vs FC Tokyo?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (2,160 vs 2,003).

Kashima win47 %
Draw27 %
FC Tokyo win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; FC Tokyo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Suzuka Unlimited(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-2J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)2-1J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)4-3J1 League
Jul 15, 2026Vegalta Sendai(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
FC Tokyo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)6-0Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)2-0J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)2-2J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)1-5J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kashima win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Tokyo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Kashima 1-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
Feb 7, 2026FC Tokyo 1-1 KashimaJ1 League
Aug 10, 2025FC Tokyo 0-1 KashimaJ1 League
Mar 1, 2025Kashima 2-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
Jul 20, 2024Kashima 2-1 FC TokyoJ1 League
Apr 7, 2024FC Tokyo 2-0 KashimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs FC Tokyo on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashima score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tokyo score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashima2.01.086/158/15
FC Tokyo1.91.548/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashima sit 3rd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and FC Tokyo sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Kashima3300969
11FC Tokyo3111574

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashima vs FC Tokyo?
The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for FC Tokyo.
Where and when is Kashima vs FC Tokyo played?
Kashima vs FC Tokyo is played on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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